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Russian Mobilization in the Twenty-First Century
Since the publication of my guide calculating how many battalion tactical groups (BTGs) the Russian Armed Forces could generate against Poland, a couple critiques have been levelled at whether this is the best way to understand how Russia would fight Poland and/or NATO at large...

Reflections on Art. 5 of the NATO Treaty. Poland between Russia and Germany in autumn 2021
Earlier this month, I participated in a debate at a fairly large event, which is the annual Warsaw Security Forum...

Alliances and blocs in the era of great-power competition
Forming new alliances like AUKUS or the QUAD does not mean creating new blocs. “Inter-epoch” alliances, for the time in which we find ourselves, will be less formalised and more loosely structured...

The Conceptual Trap of War as a Ballet
Enshrined in doctrine, operational phasing dominates U.S. and NATO thinking on operational art...

Reforms and innovations in the Polish Armed Forces. Towards a New Model Forces. Part 1
In 2021, any thinking about reform or innovation in the Polish Armed Forces, or more broadly - in the immunity system of the entire Polish state...