The Ukrainian-Russian War: An Assessment of Risks, Scenarios and Theatres of War. Part 5 of 5

Theatres of War “E” and “F” – “Kharkov” and “Sloboda”

The experiences of previous Russian-Ukrainian confrontations shows that the easiest task for Moscow was to take control over Kharkov and Sloboda Ukraine.  Russia has great superiority because it can concentrate large armies near the border and penetrate into areas which are not as geographically complicated as the Odessa and Nikolaev regions, or as urbanised as the Donbass area or the Dnieper Triangle (Dnepropetrovsk, Kryvoy Rog and Zaporozhye). The Kharkov region has a sophisticated system of communications that connects it with Russia. The enormous Ukrainian-Russian border permits Moscow to conduct different types of operations. Ukraine would need to position large army groups in these theatres of war in order to withstand the pressure. Finally, the region is too far from NATO, assuming that NATO can even provide any military support in case of war in these theatres.

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Author Ridvan Bari Urcosta
Senior Analyst at Strategy&Future
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