Search results for: Russia Found 68 results

“The Anxious Dream”- à rebours? A political plan for Poland’s victory and peace in the East. Part 2

Just as one hundred years ago, the war did not bring about the establishment of a federation, despite the Kyiv expedition, Ukrainian attempts supported by Poland, great victories of the Polish soldiers near Warsaw and on the Niemen River...
S&F Hero 6 days ago

“The Anxious Dream”- à rebours? A political plan for Poland’s victory and peace in the East. Part 1

My attention was drawn towards the following poem during Easter whilst reading Professor Andrzej Nowak’s latest book, the chapter describing Poland’s dependence on the Soviet empire after World War II...
Background Check 2 weeks ago

A few remarks on the political strategy of the Polish state in the new European circumstances (theses for discussion)

Interdependence is not a sufficient guarantee of peace, but breaking interdependence makes peace even more fragile and insecure. This is how one could define the essence of the strategic dilemma into which the democratic West has faced Russia since the outbreak of the war in Eastern Europe...
S&F Hero 1 month ago

The War for Resources: An examination of Russian geoeconomic goals in Ukraine

The geopolitics of the Russo-Ukrainian War has historical, security and ideological implications, but we shouldn’t avoid the environmental factor of this war...
Background Check 1 month ago

Consequences of the war in Ukraine – the EU perspective

At the beginning of the 21st century, two main geopolitical visions were formed in the European Union...
S&F Hero 1 month ago

What Does Russia have left to Attack Poland during the Invasion of Ukraine?

The Russian invasion of Ukraine has predictably fixed a substantial proportion of the Russian Armed Forces...

Mackinder’s Nightmare, and Three Weeks that Shook the World

On the night of February 23rd to 24th, 2022, everything seemed to be going as Putin had planned. At the same time, the course of events was the nightmare of Halford Mackinder’s worst dreams...
Background Check 2 months ago

Ukraine Fighting Against a Terrorist State – Russia. Could the War in Ukraine be the beginning of the Demise of an Empire?

Ukraine is resisting Russian aggression. Ukraine and the Ukrainian people have lost their territories, infrastructure, military material but it still holds its soul, pride, and zealously resists...
Background Check 2 months ago

Nuclear signalling in the Russian-Ukrainian war

W niedzielę 27 lutego (na dzień przed spotkaniem rosyjskich i ukraińskich zespołów negocjacyjnych) prezydent Władimir Putin poinformował o postawieniu w stan podwyższonej gotowości sił nuklearnych Federacji Rosyjskiej...
S&F Hero 3 months ago

The Geopolitical Drama of Eastern Europe. Could Eastern Europe once again be partitioned? Part 2 of 2

The main take-away points from the events in Belarus from the summer of 2020 (the unrest of the pro-Western factions of Belarusian civil society) until the current refugee crisis on the Belarusian border with the EU are the following...
Background Check 3 months ago

Russian Mobilization in the Twenty-First Century

Since the publication of my guide calculating how many battalion tactical groups (BTGs) the Russian Armed Forces could generate against Poland, a couple critiques have been levelled at whether this is the best way to understand how Russia would fight Poland and/or NATO at large...
ANW, Background Check 5 months ago

Calculating Russian Force Projection Capability

The Russian Armed Forces implemented many reforms after the 2008 Georgian War, consolidating military districts, streamlining command-and-control structure, and switching from a division- to a brigade-centric order of battle...
Background Check 5 months ago

How Ukraine Lost its Nuclear Power Status – Part 1 of 2

The Russian aggression against Ukraine since 2014 has reanimated in Ukraine the political and intellectual discussion over Ukraine’s restoration of nuclear power status. This initiative was immediately integrated into the informational war against Russia by the Ukrainian political establishment...
Background Check 5 months ago

What awaits us in 2022?

It seems that 2022 may not be easy, bringing many challenges to the world and Poland. We at S&F will list a few of them, focusing on the absolute most important issues...
S&F Hero 5 months ago

Ukraine – intoxication, status diversification, Munich, the Cuban crisis and a few questions for Poland

The current crisis related to Russian political and military maneuvering, and the West’s reaction to it, forces us to reflect on several issues concerning Poland’s vital interests...
S&F Hero 5 months ago

The Battle of Cudnów (1660): The Russo-Ukrainian Historiographic Assessment

For the Russians, a military tragedy, a catastrophe; for the Poles, a strategic victory; for the Ukrainians, a human and civil tragedy...
Background Check 5 months ago

Operations “in the grey zone”, prospects for an armed conflict and Poland’s policy

Michael J. Mazarr, analysing conflicts in the “grey zone” in 2015, as part of a project initiated by the Strategic Studies Institute focusing on the changing nature of contemporary conflicts, attempted to formulate seven hypotheses about the future...
S&F Hero 6 months ago

Jarosław Kaczyński on war

It is very puzzling, the calmness with which public opinion received the statements of the most important politician in the country on the real possibility of a war with Russia (and Belarus)...
ANW, Background Check 7 months ago

Forced March on Poti and Senaki: Russian Spetsnaz Operation in Georgia in 2008. Part 2

Shamanov in his interview does not mention the role of the 45th Guards Spetsnaz Brigade during the war on the Abkhazian front.  However, many sources indicate that the 45th Guards Spetsnaz Brigade undertook the most dangerous operations during the war in the Abkhazian TVD...
Background Check 7 months ago

Reflections on Art. 5 of the NATO Treaty. Poland between Russia and Germany in autumn 2021

Earlier this month, I participated in a debate at a fairly large event, which is the annual Warsaw Security Forum...
S&F Hero 7 months ago

Forced March on Poti and Senaki: Russian Spetsnaz Operation in Georgia in 2008. Part 1

The Russo-Georgian War in 2008 was not a challenge for the Georgian Armed Forces exclusively, but also for Russia. In fact, the consequences of the war triggered the process of the modernisation of the Russian Armed Forces...
Background Check 7 months ago

Alliances and blocs in the era of great-power competition

Forming new alliances like AUKUS or the QUAD does not mean creating new blocs. “Inter-epoch” alliances, for the time in which we find ourselves, will be less formalised and more loosely structured...
S&F Hero 7 months ago

New Generation Warfare and Civilian Leadership in the Process of Military Reforms. Part 3: The Serdyukov Reforms

The Russian Armed Forces has witnessed a lot in its history, but they have never had a situation when the chief person in the Armed Forces was an accountant...

Geography and Foreign Policy by Nicholas John Spykman

It is already a deep tradition amongst the apologists of the theory of International Relations to compare Geopolitics with ideology or dogmatism...
Book Review 8 months ago

Reforms and innovations in the Polish Armed Forces. Towards a New Model Forces. Part 2. On strategic culture

Just as art arises from the meeting of culture with circumstances, and just as great art arises from an encounter with extraordinary circumstances, the way of waging war is a meeting of the strategic culture of a state with extreme circumstances, bringing death and destruction, sometimes even the end of that state...
S&F Hero 9 months ago

Two Battlegrounds of the Great Game in Eurasia: the South China Sea and the Black Sea. Part 1 of 3

The Great Game of the XXI century is not only about Afghanistan anymore. This time, it is about a struggle by the Land Powers to bite into the World Ocean and to undermine the West’s monopoly over it and the Freedom of Navigation concept...
Background Check 9 months ago

The New Regional Geopolitical Equilibrium in the Southern Caucasus

The Southern Caucasus is one of the most dangerous hotspots on the Eurasian continent. For centuries, the region has attracted regional and global players. Its small nations exist constantly under the pressure of three crucial Eurasian powers: Russia, Turkey and Iran...
Background Check 9 months ago

The game for agency after Nord Stream

The case of NS2, New START, the Three Seas Initiative and Biden’s arrangements with Putin close the period of 30 years of geopolitical pause for Poland...
S&F Hero 10 months ago

Mental maps for the Polish elite in 2021

Here are nine points where, in my opinion, the geopolitical reality is different than at the time of the mental mapping of our elites in the last 200 years...
S&F Hero 10 months ago

Geopolitical Drivers of China and Russia towards Taiwan and Crimea. Part 2

In March 1965, Mao reportedly told the member of a Palestinian delegation: “Imperialism is afraid of China and the Arabs. Israel and Formosa are bases of imperialism in Asia. You are the front gate of the great continent, and we are the rear. They created Israel for you, and Formosa for us"...
Background Check 10 months ago

Geopolitical Drivers of China and Russia towards Taiwan and Crimea. Part 1

Taiwan and Crimea have many interesting similarities both in terms of their geopolitical and geostrategic importance and in terms of historic and cultural narratives for China and Russia. It seems that the leaders of both countries are committed to the idea of “collecting lost lands”...
Background Check 10 months ago

War Vs Peace Unit Update Report #10. May 2021

War Vs Peace Unit Update Report #10
Background Check 11 months ago

War Vs Peace Missile Report #64. May 2021

War Vs Peace Missile Report #64. May 2021
Background Check 11 months ago

The Ukrainian-Russian War: An Assessment of Risks, Scenarios and Theatres of War. Part 5 of 5

The experiences of previous Russian-Ukrainian confrontations shows that the easiest task for Moscow was to take control over Kharkov and Sloboda Ukraine...
Background Check 12 months ago

The Ukrainian-Russian War: An Assessment of Risks, Scenarios and Theatres of War. Part 4 of 5

Theatre of War “C” – the Northern Tavrida ‘Peninsula’ - from a geopolitical perspective, this theatre is given by the geopolitical divine to be occupied if the Crimean Peninsula is already under control...
Background Check 12 months ago

The Ukrainian-Russian War: An Assessment of Risks, Scenarios and Theatres of War. Part 3 of 5

Scenario Five - this scenario is closer to the second scenario or even to the first one, but in this scenario, Russia imposes its entire technological superiority and destroys the main concentrations of Ukrainian military equipment, material and navy...
Background Check 1 year ago

The Ukrainian-Russian War: An Assessment of Risks, Scenarios and Theatres of War. Part 2 of 5

Scenario Two - here the strategic goals are much greater and the effects in case of its realisation would not be simply political or diplomatic...
Background Check 1 year ago

The Ukrainian-Russian War: An Assessment of Risks, Scenarios and Theatres of War. Part 1 of 5

2021 will be the anniversary of Ukrainian independence and 30 years since the fall of the Soviet Union.,,
Background Check 1 year ago

“Free Odessa – Odessa Republic – Southwest Territory (1917-1919)” by Victor Savchenko (Book review)

Geopolitics has different expressions, usually global or regional, but sometimes it can be interesting to understand the phenomenon of geopolitics through the local angle. Victor Savchenko’s book which I present today is truly one of those books that give us a picture of how geopolitics works at the local level...
Background Check 1 year ago

War Vs Peace Unit Update Report #8

War Vs Peace Unit Update Report #8

War Vs Peace Missile Report #62

War Vs Peace Missile Report #62 March 2021

Special Operations Forces Command and Crimean Operation

In 2013 Russia’s Defence Minister Sergey Shoygu and Chief of General Staff Valery Gerasimov jointly announced the creation of a Special Operations Forces...
Background Check 1 year ago

War Vs Peace Missile Report #61

War Vs Peace Missile Report #61
Background Check 1 year ago

Jagiellonian Policy in the 21st Century

It is now 100 years since the signing of the peace treaty in Riga, which ended Poland’s war in the east with Soviet Russia and established relations in our part of the world for the following 20 years...
S&F Hero, Uncategorized 1 year ago

The Role of Egypt in the Russian Strategic Vision

Egypt in the Russian agenda plays the most important role for the Middle East and Africa, and the cooperation seems to be increasing in 2021...
Background Check 1 year ago

The Last 21 Years: Year (2)008

“The numbers tell us this was a debate between change and experience, and change won”...
Background Check 1 year ago

The Last 21 Years: Year (2)007

“Every once in a while, a revolutionary product comes along that changes everything.” Normally we might be inclined to ignore Steve Jobs’ sales patter but here, on 9th January 2007 unveiling the first-generation Apple iPhone, he was - as they say - on point...
Background Check 1 year ago

The Last 21 Years: Year (2)006

In the 31st January 1907 edition of Le Matin, under the headline Paris-Pékin Automobile: Un défi prodigieux, there was a really remarkable story which looked set to define what we now think of as the first era of globalisation...
Background Check 1 year ago

Michail Leontiev. “The Great Game (Great Britain against Russia and the USSR)”. Book review

This book was written in 2008 by one of the staunch supporters of Vladimir Putin’s regime. Mikhail Leontiev was born in Moscow in 1958 and for many years was involved in Russian politics, more specifically in Russian media space...
Background Check 1 year ago
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